Will most critics think AI writes good poetry by the end of 2025?

Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?

Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?

Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?

Will AI be able to write a "Harry Potter" book featuring all the 2011-2014 Thiel Fellows as characters by 2030?

Will Donald Knuth declare The Art of Computer Programming complete before he dies.

Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel focusing on AI in 2024?