Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

[Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?

Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?

Will there be a blockbuster movie in the US before the end of 2025 that is acknowledged as written by AI