Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
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2028
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chance

In order to resolve YES, someone must provide an example of such a novel. It must:

  • Be at least 60,000 words.

  • Be interesting, not some attempt to game the system like "Alice wanted to see how high she could count, so she said "1", then "2", then "3", then "4"..." It must seem like something a human might write if they were trying to write a good novel.

  • Not have obvious continuity errors.

  • Be created from a single input prompt, no further prompting or human error-correction. (If it's an automated prompting, like telling it "write the next chapter" over and over, that's fine. The prompts just can't be providing any help or suggestions.)

It does not have to be "good" in a literary sense.

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How obvious are obvious continuity errors? Most novels have pretty bad continuity errors when pointed out. I assume that in line with the usual- maybe even a little worse than average is fine?

@PhilosophyBear Yeah, about average. Something obscure that most readers wouldn't catch I won't hold against it.

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