Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2024?
Basic
6
Ṁ118Mar 1
76%
Sub-Saharan Africa
70%
North America
68%
Eastern Europe and Central Asia
66%
Latin America and the Caribbean
59%
Asia and Australasia
59%
Middle East and North Africa
41%
Western Europe
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES for any region whose average democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2025) compared to the last report (which can be found here).
For easy reference, here is a table of regional democracy scores since 2006, taken from the last report:
For any region whose average democracy score for 2024 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
Other questions about authoritarianism in 2024:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China become more authoritarian in 2024?
70% chance
Will Mexico become more authoritarian in 2024?
66% chance
Will the world become more authoritarian in 2024?
73% chance
Will Argentina become more authoritarian in 2024?
34% chance
Will India become more authoritarian in 2024?
49% chance
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2024?
88% chance
Which country will backslide into authoritarianism the most in the 2020s?
Will France become more authoritarian in 2024?
67% chance
Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2024?
33% chance
Will Canada become more authoritarian in 2024?
26% chance