Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2025?

Question

This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Germany's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2026) compared to the last report (which can be found here).

If Germany's democracy score for 2025 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 53% chance (44 traders, as of Mar 31, 2026).

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