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MANIFOLD
Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?
16
Ṁ175Ṁ2.1k
resolved Apr 11
Resolved
YES
Asia and Australasia
Resolved
YES
Eastern Europe and Central Asia
Resolved
NO
Latin America and the Caribbean
Resolved
NO
Middle East and North Africa
Resolved
NO
North America
Resolved
NO
Sub-Saharan Africa
Resolved
NO
Western Europe

This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES for any region whose average democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2025) compared to the last report (which can be found here).

For easy reference, here is a table of regional democracy scores 2006-2023:

For any region whose average democracy score for 2025 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.

Market context
Politics
Middle East
World
Europe
Asia
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bought Ṁ25 YES

Here's the wikipedia table.

@Qoiuoiuoiu Wikipedia seems to have gotten it wrong.

See the first line ('unchanged') and the last chart bar ('4.00').

@Hakari @cash @Qoiuoiuoiu this seems to be the only one where things are off, with two regions having scores that are .01 different than wiki, but only sub Sahara results being directionally wrong

let me know if I need to post anymore screenshots on other markets.

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