Starmer out before July?

MANIFOLD

433

Ṁ10kṀ430k

Jun 30

43%

chance

ALL

Resolves according to this Polymarket:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Streeting has bottled it as well.

bought Ṁ500 YES

Angela Rayner says he should reflect on standing aside

How long will the next UK PM stay?

@brod just for clarity: a leadership election would not trigger YES unless it were to complete AND Starmer was to lose it by the deadline? Just want to be clear that if Streeting launches a bid tomorrow, that's not a YES resolution unless Starmer either chooses to go or loses.

@Noit yeah that’s how i’m interpreting the polymarket rules. starmer needs to either actually leave or announce he’s leaving

@Noit also presumably if there is a contest and Starmer doesn't stand?

What a week, huh? / Lemon, it’s Wednesday

"You come at the king, you best not miss"

Starmer 2028 Dem nomination

uk is fucked now either way. damage is done

manifold vs. 30 year gilt yields

@brod agahahahahaha

In July 2024, President Joe Biden strongly affirmed his intention to remain in the 2024 presidential race, declaring "I'm the nominee" and "I'm not going anywhere"

Of course he doesn’t want to go. So he tells his cabinet he’s staying, but it doesn’t mean anything

it’s not up to him. When they are done with him, they are done. Times Up Keir.

@Jack1 They need the stalking horse...

@Jack1 “mandelson’s protege” lmao bruh

GG. Finally.

bought Ṁ100 NO

Come on Kier hang in there! Don't they know to wait until after July?! I mean, for Andy Burnham? 🔥💵🔥

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 42% order

J-Cor should never have given this guy a job

@Fion wasn't Jezza C-dawg just following the result of the leadership election? It's not like he personally hired Starmyboi

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Labour_Party_leadership_election_(UK)

@TheAllMemeingEye no, I mean before that, when he made this staunch remainer Shadow Brexit Secretary

I think labour might be retarded

West has bottled it, nobody wants a leadership contest today. This can will be kicked. I have no more mana, I cannot buy more NO. Nothing ever happens.