MANIFOLD
2x2 Starmer out before 2027 / UK General Election in 2027
3
Ṁ1kṀ1.4k
Dec 31
60%
Starmer Out / No General Election
32%
Starmer remains / No General Election
5%
Starmer Out / Yes General Election
2%
Starmer Remains / Yes General Election

Resolves based as per 2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026 on this market and Yes/No on this market.

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bought Ṁ50 YES

Why would there be a general election? Labour would lose a lot of seats. I don't see what the point would be.

@Jack1 the deep Labour lore is that Brown didn’t take the country to the polls during his honeymoon period after taking over from Blair, and that’s why they lost in 2010. Anyone who takes over from Starmer is going to be under some pressure to go to the polls early.

@Noit Ok, But I doubt there will be a labour honeymoon that would result in more seats for labour. I'm not very knowledgeable on uk politics, but I think worldwide the only point of an early election is if you are polling well and can increase seats.

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