![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FPontiMin%2F6sj3q3ieqz.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
Mini
3
Ṁ1252031
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.
(Note that if there is a general election in the summer of 2029, then the end of 2031 will be 2.5 years into that parliament. However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve YES, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2031).
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Sir Keir Starmer (Labour Party) be the UK's next prime minister?
97% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
47% chance
If Keir Starmer is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Labour Party win?
95% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at this year’s election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
79% chance
Will Keir Starmer be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the end of 2024?
93% chance
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
83% chance
Will Keir Starmer become the next Prime Minister of the UK after Rishi Sunak?
95% chance
Will the UK have a millennial Prime Minister before 2033?
30% chance
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
74% chance