
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
28
Ṁ1kṀ6.2k2029
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is PM on 31 December 2029.
(Note that this is at least 2 general elections away from when this question was created (4 June 2024) as there must be an election by July 2029. However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve true, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2029).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Keir Starmer's net favourability rating be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024?
1% chance
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
42% chance
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
How will Keir Starmer leave office?
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
10% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
11% chance
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
30% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
38% chance
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?