MANIFOLD
If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…..?
4
Ṁ1kṀ470
Dec 31
51%
Stay on as an mp until the date of the next UK general election?
41%
Stay on as an mp and contest a constituency in the next UK general election?
17%
Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027

Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.

Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.

Stay on= be an mp continuously until then. If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.

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What happens with Keir Starmer?

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