Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
9
22
Ṁ282Ṁ210
2029
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves No if any of the following actions occur:
Keir Starmer fails to form a parliamentary majority in the 2024 election as seen on Wikipedia (2019 equivalent: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election)
Keir Starmer resigns or is deposed by a vote of no confidence before the next General Election is scheduled to be held (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election).
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