If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
Plus
18
Ṁ891Jan 20
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to 538 polling data about Trump's approval rating if he is elected, otherwise, resolves N/A.
If his approval rating is exactly 50%, resolves as 50%.
The current president's rating, Joe Biden's, can be found at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?
65% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
40% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
25% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
35% chance
Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
57% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
9% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
41% chance
Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?
15% chance
Will the next president have an approval rating above 45% in 2025, and will they be a Democrat or a Republican?