If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
➕
Plus
61
Ṁ6207
2026
50%
chance

If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ200 YES

Based upon what poll?

Trump will be over 40% easily!!

bought Ṁ50 YES

Looks like he was actually slightly above 40% for most of his first term https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules