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MANIFOLD
Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:
32
Ṁ1kṀ7.7k
resolved Jan 23
Resolved
NO
3 months in office?
Resolved
NO
6 months in office?
Resolved
NO
9 months in office?
Resolved
NO
12 months in office?

This resolves based upon Gallup presidential approval ratings for both Presidents over the given time period.

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bought Ṁ200 NO

@JeffBerman , are you online?

3 months, 6 months are known

bought Ṁ100 NO

Biden January 2021-January 2025 42.2

@Areal 355 days into

Donald Trump's term

The president's net approval rating is

39% approve

https://www.economist.com/interactive/trump-approval-tracker

Biden beats Trump?

why gallup as opposed to all the many polling averages which are less random?

@dlin007 Choosing one consistent poll, going back to Truman, gives us a basis for comparison. Gallup is arguably the gold standard.

bought Ṁ500 NO

@JeffBerman 6 and 9 month options can resolve NO