If Biden is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
Basic
9
Ṁ122
Jan 20
20%
chance

Resolves according to 538 polling data about Biden's approval rating if he is elected, otherwise, resolves N/A.

If his approval rating is exactly 50%, resolves as 50%.

His current approval rating can be found at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

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Market for Trump

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Conditional markets based on approval ratings of presidents one year after they are elected! Prediction markets are made for a reason.

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We need more conditional markets.