If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
45
1kṀ27452026
30%
chance
1D
1W
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If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Alternative Resolution Source
If 538 is not available, RCP will be used as the approval rating source.
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@JeffBerman Thanks for the question. I will be using the 538 job approval rating average for Jan 20th, 2026.
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