If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
Plus
28
Ṁ15272026
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@JeffBerman Thanks for the question. I will be using the 538 job approval rating average for Jan 20th, 2026.
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
20% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
50% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
25% chance
Will Joe Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50% or Higher?
3% chance
Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?
84% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
35% chance
Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:
Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)
51% chance
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
60% chance
Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?
23% chance