
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
31
1kṀ18632026
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@JeffBerman Thanks for the question. I will be using the 538 job approval rating average for Jan 20th, 2026.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
68% chance
Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on Feb 20th?
99% chance
What approval ratings will Trump have on FiveThirtyEight in the first month of his second term?
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
56% chance
Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:
Will Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in 2025?
61% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
12% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
38% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
15% chance