Will all Manifold features be available to the majority of EU users at the end of 2024?
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Dec 31
52%
chance
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With Manifold planning to introduce real money payouts, is European law strong enough to protect the citizenry from the dangers involved in such an enterprise?
Resolves YES if more than half of EU-based users have access to all manifold functionalities on December 31st, 2024.
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@admissions Ok. Then that seem like a much more likely case for YES than actually having real money cash-out in the majority of EU
@Simon74fe Yes I think so .. I think it would be pretty catastrophic for Manifold .. they will be at the end of the financial runway and will have spent the remaining time preparing for the real money pivot .. I think it's extremely likely they do implement the pivot, and when they do, it's extremely unlikely to be unrestricted in the EU
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