What will be the most popular Manifold market at the end of 2024?
Basic
13
Ṁ3631Jan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025? https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
1.2%
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
0.7%
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
0.9%
2024 US Presidential Election Winner https://manifold.markets/getby/2024-us-presidential-election-winne
0.5%
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Limited options) https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-2024-us-presidential-e
80%
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
12%
Resolves to the market that has the most traders at the end of 2024. I will also count polls, with the number of voters used in place of the number of traders. I won't count bounties (the closest thing they have is the number of commenters, but that's not even displayed anywhere, only the total number of comments is, and Manifold itself counts them as having 0 traders).
It doesn't matter if the market is still open or not, so this list should show all candidates in their current order: https://manifold.markets/browse?s=most-popular&f=all&ct=ALL&topic=for-you
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