If during the timespan of this event, 3 or more users post a screenshot within 10 minutes of each other (according to a clock presented in their screen captures) of some down detector website failing to ping Manifold.Markets or if I myself can do the same without any need for corroboration, this market resolves YES. This market can additionally resolve YES if a down detector website catalogs a crash during the timespan of this event and I can review the data. (Please comment a link to the detector site once Manifold recovers). If no crash is observed, this resolves NO.

The 36 hour time frame for this event is any EST time on the date of Nov 5, 2024 and up until noon the next day (Nov 6, 2024 11:59 AM EST).

I have posted a down detector website that will be accepted for this market. If you wish to vet another one, please comment a link below.

https://downforeveryoneorjustme.com/manifold.markets?proto=https

Another criteria to resolve YES will include an official Manifold account (higher than just a mod) commenting on this market or making a public statement (such as on Twitter/X or Discord) reporting a crash or outage. I will also interpret such a post saying that a crash 'may have occurred' or something to that effect to also resolve YES. I will use my best judgement to determine if they are referring to a crash during this market's event time frame. I will not bet in this market to preserve my objectivity.

Don't expect this market to resolve live for obvious reasons. Please post your time zone in your evidence so it can be converted to EST.

Edit 1: Spelling correction, and added NO criteria.

Edit 2: Added clause for official Manifold account to report an outage.