Impact of AI: Will the number of lawyers in the U.S. decrease by 2030? | Manifold

Impact of AI: Will the number of lawyers in the U.S. decrease by 2030?

Basic

7

Ṁ158

2030

30%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The number of lawyers in the US has been growing at a faster rate than the overall population:

However, in 2020, 2021, and 2022, and for the first time in 100 years, the number of active lawyers in the US decreased. From 2022 to 2023, the number of active lawyers rose slightly (+0.3%). Morever, artificial intelligence might negatively impact lawyers and slow their growth.

Will the number of active lawyers in the US be lower in 2030 than in 2023 (the latest available year)?

The question will be resolved using the American Bar Association (ABA) 2030 National Lawyer Population Survey. In 2023, there were 1,331,290 active lawyers in the US.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Artificial Intelligence

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

opened a Ṁ10 NO at 50% order

Blue line go up

Of note: the median real incomes of lawyers have been declining and "Between 2008 and 2019, lawyers’ income share of the national gross domestic product fell from 1.64% to 1.32% because clients purchased lawyers’ services less often."

Related questions

Will some U.S. lawyers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?

Will AI replace over 50 million jobs by end of 2024?

Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Will I start using a non-LLM AI tool on a daily basis before 2025?

Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?

Will there be 10% fewer lawyers in May 2025 (compared to May 2023)?

Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?

Related questions

Will some U.S. lawyers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?

Will I start using a non-LLM AI tool on a daily basis before 2025?

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?

Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?

Will there be 10% fewer lawyers in May 2025 (compared to May 2023)?

Will AI replace over 50 million jobs by end of 2024?

Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules