What will be true of my Wyoming company on March 20th, 2025?
2
36
310
2025
99.2%
It will have a US bank account
99.2%
It will have a website
99.2%
It will have a mobile app
99.2%
>= $1k MRR
98.3%
It will be active
81%
It will have paying customers
56%
It will have a functional and well featured product
50%
>= $5k MRR
50%
It will have received outside investment
50%
It will have permanent employees (at least 1 FTE)

Earlier this month, the Wyoming Secretary of State, Trump's own endorsed Honorable Chuck Gray affixed the Great Seal of the State of Wyoming to the Certificate of Incorporation of my new company.

This is a personal accountability market aiming to track the outcomes of Mr Gray's decision.

(I have no ties to Wyoming, it was just the cheapest way to set up a company from abroad)

It will have a website

At least 4 pages with description of the product, an email signup form, regular stuff.

It will have a functional and well featured product

The project is a workforce management SaaS that uses AI to alleviate multiple pain points of existing solutions. Functional and well featured means the opposite of some of the recent "Launch HN" threads by overfunded YC companies

It will have paying customers

Why yes

  • I know HRM/workforce software well from the technical side

  • I know HRM/workforce software well from the business side

  • I have experience building SaaS products from the ground up for other people and watching them sell it

  • I may hire someone to help with sales

  • This may actually be a great & unique product

Why not

  • My network is pitiable

  • I do not have a track record of influencing people

  • I may give up too soon

  • It's a hard thing in the best of circumstances

It will have received outside investment (friends & family don't count)

Why not

  • I have no network

  • I have no names on my resume that are typically associated with success

  • I do not have a track record of influencing people

  • I may not even try out of fear

  • I may not even try out of lack of need

  • I may not even try out of derision for those smug assholes

Why yes

  • I believe I have high human capital

  • I make good presentations

  • The product may be really good

  • I may know a guy who knows a guy

It will have a US bank account

I just got the EIN number, so will be setting that up shortly.


On this market, I will bet only YES and will never sell.

I will provide proof in case or YES resolutions to anyone who asks and has invested at least Ṁ500.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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