Will GPT-5 launch before 1 January 2025?

AI Technical AI Timelines OpenAI GPT-5 Speculation Business

Basic

192

Ṁ79k

2025

41%

chance

ALL

Question will resolve yes if a product by openai is launched with the name "GPT-5" before 1 January 2025.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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Arbitrage: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/in-what-month-will-openai-broadly-r

Slightly different condition because it requires broad public release, while this market does not specify the exact condition. I still don't think that accounts for the 10pp difference.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Slightly different name conditions but arbitrage:

https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025

There might not be a GPT-5 at all

predicts NO

Arbitrage: https://manifold.markets/JonSoark/will-chatgpt5-be-released-by-the-en

Will ChatGPT5 be released by the end of 2024?

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