The market also resolves Yes if it is a well accept fact that an human director of any S&P500 exclusively exercised their power using recommendations of some artificial agent for more than 2 years.
I will not sell my shares.
I wrote some script to automatize my daily bets.
Say this resolves positive at time X. This seems like it would converge toward the discount rate until date X. As far as I can tell, your 25$ into "no" should not actually make that big of a difference unless people are worried about locking up their funds.
So it can never resolve NO but you will be 25 on NO every day? So it still makes more sense to bet NO than YES even though NO is not possible.
really curious what your intention is here