Will a company started by me have a valuation of at least one billion USD by the year 2026?
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For those who worry about market creator credibility/conflict of interest:

@jim Interested in putting up some limit orders?

@AmmonLam done

predictedYES

Related market (with 100M+ subsidies and limit orders in place):

https://manifold.markets/jim/will-agi-be-created-by-an-lk99-main?r=amlt

Imagine loosing this bet by only making a 900m dollar company. Would it even have been worth it lmao

Who are you?

@robm I am @jim

Most startups aren't unicorns. Is there some reason to expect you to beat the odds?

@SonataGreen agi almost achieved

@jim lol

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Will a company started by @jim have a valuation of at least one billion USD by the year 2026?
2% chance
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
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10B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
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Will OpenAI be valued above $1 trillion before 2030?
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