Will a company started by me have a valuation of at least one billion USD by the year 2026?
57
1kṀ24k
Dec 31
0.3%
chance

Technology
Business
Big Tech
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
33% chance
At least how many global companies will have a market cap of at least $1T on Jul 26, 2025?
1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
55% chance
10B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
33% chance
Will a company by @barak raise 2mil before the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will OpenAI be worth $600B by mid-2026?
39% chance
Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $1 trillion by 2035?
74% chance
If tech company Faire goes public before 2026, will its value 6 months after IPO be at least US$13 billion?
44% chance
Will Elon Musk found another billion dollar company by 2030?
48% chance
Sort by:

For those who worry about market creator credibility/conflict of interest:

@jim Interested in putting up some limit orders?

@AmmonLam done

predictedYES

Related market (with 100M+ subsidies and limit orders in place):

https://manifold.markets/jim/will-agi-be-created-by-an-lk99-main?r=amlt

Imagine loosing this bet by only making a 900m dollar company. Would it even have been worth it lmao

Who are you?

@robm I am @jim

Most startups aren't unicorns. Is there some reason to expect you to beat the odds?

@SonataGreen agi almost achieved

@jim lol

People are also trading

Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
33% chance
At least how many global companies will have a market cap of at least $1T on Jul 26, 2025?
1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
55% chance
10B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
33% chance
Will a company by @barak raise 2mil before the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will OpenAI be worth $600B by mid-2026?
39% chance
Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $1 trillion by 2035?
74% chance
If tech company Faire goes public before 2026, will its value 6 months after IPO be at least US$13 billion?
44% chance
Will Elon Musk found another billion dollar company by 2030?
48% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy