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MANIFOLD
Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
12
Ṁ1.1kṀ200
2027
65%
Crimea
63%
Donetsk Oblast
62%
Sevastopol
53%
Lugansk Oblast
50%
Kherson Oblast
50%
Zaporozhye Oblast
50%
Odessa Oblast
47%
Sumy Oblast

Resolution criteria

Each option will resolve YES if, at the close date, the Russian Federation claims sovereignty over any part of the named region.

Each option will resolve NO if, at the close date, the Russian Federation does not claim sovereignty over any part of the named region.

Close date

This market will close at 23:59:00 UTC on 1 July 2027 and will not resolve sooner.

Clarifications

More options may be added. I will not trade in this market.

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bought Ṁ2 YES

For several of these, russia already claims sovereignty when they were annexed, no?

@Sqeedee yes, if the market ended today, six would resolve YES