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MANIFOLD
Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
14
Ṁ1.1kṀ2k
2027
96%
Sevastopol
95%
Crimea
82%
Donetsk Oblast
82%
Lugansk Oblast
68%
Kherson Oblast
68%
Zaporozhye Oblast
14%
Odessa Oblast
12%
Sumy Oblast

Resolution criteria

Each option will resolve YES if, at the close date, the Russian Federation claims sovereignty over any part of the named region.

Each option will resolve NO if, at the close date, the Russian Federation does not claim sovereignty over any part of the named region.

Close date

This market will close at 23:59:00 UTC on 1 July 2027 and will not resolve sooner.

Clarifications

More options may be added. I will not trade in this market.

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bought Ṁ2 YES

For several of these, russia already claims sovereignty when they were annexed, no?

@Sqeedee yes, if the market ended today, six would resolve YES