Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
1
1.1kṀ962027
60%
Donetsk Oblast
60%
Crimea
60%
Sevastopol
50%
Lugansk Oblast
50%
Kherson Oblast
50%
Zaporozhye Oblast
50%
Odessa Oblast
50%
Sumy Oblast
Resolution criteria
Each option will resolve YES if, at the close date, the Russian Federation claims sovereignty over any part of the named region.
Each option will resolve NO if, at the close date, the Russian Federation does not claim sovereignty over any part of the named region.
Close date
This market will close at 23:59:00 UTC on 1 July 2027 and will not resolve sooner.
Clarifications
More options may be added. I will not trade in this market.
Related market:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?
44% chance
Which regions will Ukraine claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
59% chance
Will Russia be the de facto ruling power of the North Pole by 2027?
13% chance
Will the entirety of the currently designated Kaliningrad Oblast still be administered by Russia at the end of 2028?
88% chance
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
32% chance
Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ?
14% chance
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
24% chance
Will any of the 89 Russian regions leave Russia (Will any region fully separate from Moscow by) ..? - 1250 Mana on YES