Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
15
Ṁ150Ṁ5872040
60%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
2% chance
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
10% chance
Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
Will Russia Exist in 2040?
94% chance
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
32% chance
Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2030?
21% chance
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
10% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
56% chance
Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030
13% chance