Which regions will Ukraine claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?

Question

Resolution criteria

Each option will resolve YES if, at the close date, Ukraine claims sovereignty over any part of the named region.

Each option will resolve NO if, at the close date, Ukraine does not claim sovereignty over any part of the named region.

Close date

This market will close at 23:59:00 UTC on 1 July 2027 and will not resolve sooner.

Clarifications

More options may be added. I will not trade in this market.

Related market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/a_l_e_x/how-many-of-the-50-largest-cities-i)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Sumy Oblast, followed by Donetsk Oblast and Luhansk Oblast are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Mar 26, 2026).