Will the entirety of the currently designated Kaliningrad Oblast still be administered by Russia at the end of 2028?
6
102Ṁ1552029
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if any part of the territory splits off, becomes annexed, occupied, or otherwise changes administrator to another state/organization other than Russia.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will Russia control Kaliningrad on Jan 1st 2031?
86% chance
Will Transnistria be annexed by Russia until EOY 2025?
10% chance
Will a territory with over 1 million people cease to be part of Russia by 2025?
3% chance
Will a territory with over 10 million people cease to be part of Russia by 2025?
2% chance
Will Bashkortostan secede from the Russian Federation before the end of 2028?
7% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
58% chance
By 2050, will any territory that was administered by Russia in 2013 be administered by China instead?
38% chance
Will Russia lose kaliningrad by 2060
35% chance
Will the territorial unity of the Russian Federation fragment into two or more sovereign nations before 2026?
21% chance