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MANIFOLD
Will Russia control Dobropillya by the end of June 2027?
0
αΉ€1k
2027
40%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, Russia controls the entirety of Dobropillya, Donetsk Oblast.

This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.

For the duration of the war, any YES resolution must be supported by a majority of the following sources:

Close date

This market is set to close at 22:00 UTC on 30 June 2027.

Clarifications

Dobropillya is also known as Dobropolye or Dobropillia.

This market will use the city boundaries displayed on the Google Maps app. Note that Google may adjust city boundaries over time.

If a resolution source fails to update for 30 consecutive days, it may be removed as a resolution source. A majority of the remaining sources will then be required for a YES resolution.

Market context
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