
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
77
1.2kṀ6407Dec 31
21%
chance
13
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm open to arguments about whether or not it should be disclosed beforehand.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
14% chance
Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?
7% chance
Will a paper or report, with >=1 turing award winner as an author, suggest that an AI system is conscious, by 2025 end?
15% chance
Will Anthropic be the best on AI safety among major AI labs at the end of 2025?
87% chance
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2026?
25% chance
will a paper released in 2025 by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
33% chance
Will a paper fully created by AI be accepted into Nature by 2030?
58% chance
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
25% chance
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?