Will a paper fully created by AI be accepted into Nature by 2030?
25
Ṁ1kṀ5152030
62%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm referring to a case where a researcher attempted to use AI to generate research question, methodology, fake research data, and then send it to publishing while using AI to respond to referees and eventually successfully got their paper accepted by Nature.
I assume we would find out about this when the researcher who did this act reveal to the world what he did.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
83% chance
will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
75% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
37% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?
60% chance
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?
72% chance
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
36% chance
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
will research with at least 50% AI generated content win the Nobel Prize by 2030?
22% chance
Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?
82% chance