Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
3
135Ṁ89
2030
44%
Other
26%
Gpt-4 passes the bar exam
12%
Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3
9%
HuggingGPT: Solving ai tasks with chatgpt and its friends in hugging face
9%
Lima: Less is more for alignment

Year and citation count according to google scholar.

Market context
Technology
AI
Technical AI Timelines
AI Alignment
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Hold my words, this one

There's mana for anyone who wants to look up the current number of citations on these articles.

People are also trading

Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
2% chance
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
Which MATH-AI 23 works will have >50 Google Scholar citations by end of 2026?
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
83% chance
Who will be the most cited ML researcher alive in 2040?
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?
60% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?
72% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2040?
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2030?
Will a paper fully created by AI be accepted into Nature by 2030?
62% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy