will research with at least 50% AI generated content win the Nobel Prize by 2030?
6
37
แน158แน130
2030
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
i suppose we might never know ๐ but if it is revealed then this will resolve yes.
for full disclosure i dont think any current nobel prize has done this; i just think this is a semi-interesting question
Get แน200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
73% chance
Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
39% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
28% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
48% chance
Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?
38% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
53% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
22% chance
will research on AI/ML win a nobel prize by 2030?
46% chance
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
59% chance