Will Nate Silver call all 50 states correctly?
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Ṁ8749Nov 5
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Resolves based on the final forecast given by the Silver Bulletin.
"Calling a state" means that the candidate given the highest winning probability by Nate's model in his final presidential forecast matches the winner called by the AP news desk.
If two candidates are exactly tied, then either count as being "called correctly" (don't do this Nate, it's a cop out!).
This just covers the 50 states, e.g. it resolves based on Nate's main Nebraska forecast, ignoring NE-1 & NE-2 (and the same for Maine).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@creator So if Nate gets all 50 states right, but gets D.C. wrong, this still resolves YES, right? 🤣
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