11 of Nate's tweets have been submitted to this market:
So far, all of them have resolved yes, indicating manifold believes they are good takes.
If an option about a Nate Silver tweet resolves NO in the linked market, this market will resolve YES unless that option clearly misrepresented Nate Silver's tweet or is a duplicate. Otherwise, this market will resolve NO at the end of 2024.
I will not bet on this market.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ147 | |
| 2 | Ṁ117 | |
| 3 | Ṁ85 | |
| 4 | Ṁ81 | |
| 5 | Ṁ66 |
I thought the dogged insistence that Biden starting late on Day 1 of DNC was a conspiracy was a bad take. But who knows, maybe most people here agree with him
@howahlah Seems reasonable to suspect they were a bit strategic. I don't think something is to the effect of "the convention organisers got together and planned out the event" meets all the criteria of conspiracy