Will Nate Silver appear on the 538 Politics Podcast in 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ445Dec 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Nate Silver left 538 in summer of 2023. As far as I can tell, the last time he appeared on the podcast was on the April 24th 2023 episode. In the next episode, Galen addressed the layoffs, but didn't say anything about Nate specifically.
This market resolves YES if Nate Silver appears on the 538 politics podcast (not as a prerecording played by the host, but actively part of the podcast, either as a guest or a host) anytime in 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?
36% chance
Will Nate Silver be involved in a major scandal in 2024?
16% chance
Will Nate Silver predict the election better than 538, according to a statistical analysis such as a Brier score?
90% chance
Will Nate Silver "Sell or license his 2024 election model to a third-party media company"?
5% chance
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
2% chance
Will Manifest 2025 have someone more famous than Nate Silver, according to YouGov?
20% chance
Will The Rest Is Politics and Political Currency do a joint podcast episode in 2024?
3% chance
Will Nate Silver join Bluesky before 2026?
84% chance