Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election? | Manifold

Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?

2024 US Presidential Election Manifold Nate Silver Manifold Users

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bought Ṁ250 YES

He said he did

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Elliot_dev He agreed to do so, didn’t say he did yet

DanboughtṀ250NO

@Elliot_dev In fact he explicitly said he hadn’t yet

@DanMan314 was a joke I think

He's too much of a fucking coward to.

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Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

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-3% 1d63% chance

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When Nate Silver's Next Model Comes Out, What odds Will It Give the Democratic Nominee?

Will Nate Silver’s model correctly predict the election?

Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Who will make at least one bet on Manifold during 2024?

Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2024 election?

Will a major newspaper cite/reference a Manifold prediction market by the 2024 election?

Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer,