Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election? | Manifold

Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?

🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election Manifold Manifold Users Nate Silver

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Jan 1

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Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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bought Ṁ250 YES

He said he did

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Elliot_dev He agreed to do so, didn’t say he did yet

DanboughtṀ250NO

@Elliot_dev In fact he explicitly said he hadn’t yet

@DanMan314 was a joke I think

Is his word so worthless that even after Greeing he would do so that this market should still be at ~20%?

He's too much of a fucking coward to.

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In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?

Will Nate Silver call the 2024 election on election night?

Related questions

Will Manifold enable real-money betting on Congressional races?

Will Nate Silver's model have a higher probability of Kamala victory than electionbettingodds.com on election day?

Who will make at least one bet on Manifold during 2024?

Will Nate Silver’s model correctly predict the election?

Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?

Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?

Which site will be most accurate at predicting the Electoral College results? (Manifold, Polymarket, Nate Silver, 538)

Will Nate Silver call the 2024 election on election night?