Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election? | Manifold

Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?

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#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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bought Ṁ300 NO

@MichaelWheatley This should close on Election Day I think.

@Kraalnaxx I'm tempted to leave it open a week or two late in case the fact comes out after the fact. Any objections from anyone?

bought Ṁ250 YES

He said he did

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Elliot_dev He agreed to do so, didn’t say he did yet

DanboughtṀ250NO

@Elliot_dev In fact he explicitly said he hadn’t yet

@DanMan314 was a joke I think

Is his word so worthless that even after Greeing he would do so that this market should still be at ~20%?

He's too much of a fucking coward to.

@Lorxus LOL he plays poker but is too much of a coward to bet on a play-money prediction market? Suuuuure

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