Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
18
69
Ṁ857Ṁ370
2025
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Nate Silver "Run a “low-fi" version of his 2024 election model here at Silver Bulletin"?
88% chance
Will Nate Silver "Sell or license his 2024 election model to a third-party media company"?
4% chance
Will Nate Silver join or found an organization associated with EA, rationalists, or prediction markets?
62% chance
Will Manifold have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?
11% chance
Will Manifold outperform Matthew Yglesias?
90% chance
Will Manifold fix betting before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Nate Silver's upcoming book make the NYT bestsellers list?
82% chance
Will Nate Silver's new book make a detailed reference to Manifold?
98% chance
Will Donald Trump post a screenshot/link of a Manifold politics market in 2024?
7% chance