Will Nate Silver’s model correctly predict the election?
230
1kṀ63kresolved Nov 7
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the winner of the 2024 presidential election is the candidate predicted most likely to win by Nate Silver’s model (released today, here) on Election Day. NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ20,107 | |
| 2 | Ṁ2,773 | |
| 3 | Ṁ661 | |
| 4 | Ṁ351 | |
| 5 | Ṁ328 |