Will Nate Silver call all 50 states correctly?
Basic
37
Ṁ8749
Nov 5
7%
chance
  • Resolves based on the final forecast given by the Silver Bulletin.

  • "Calling a state" means that the candidate given the highest winning probability by Nate's model in his final presidential forecast matches the winner called by the AP news desk.

  • If two candidates are exactly tied, then either count as being "called correctly" (don't do this Nate, it's a cop out!).

  • This just covers the 50 states, e.g. it resolves based on Nate's main Nebraska forecast, ignoring NE-1 & NE-2 (and the same for Maine).

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