Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?
Basic
1
Ṁ1002029
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tech companies contributing to AI progress--on both the hardware and software side--are making a lot of money lately. The question is: Is it over, or just getting started?
Resolves subjectively, based on my diligent assessment of the literature on January 1, 2029. Resolves YES if I reasonably decide that we were indeed in an AI bubble at market creation, meaning AI-connected stocks are generally significantly overvalued.
If it's very unclear at the time of close, I reserve the right to extend the market until the question is sufficiently settled.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
30% chance
Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?
22% chance
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
58% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
79% chance
Are we about to hit another AI winter?
21% chance
Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
54% chance
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?
58% chance
Will 3 Big AI Companies lose 10% of market cap in a single day (AI Bubble Pop) by 2025?
23% chance
Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years?
59% chance