Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years? | Manifold

Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years?

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21

Ṁ1.3k

2028

59%

chance

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1W

1M

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"Things will basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years and those worries are overstated ", from https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hc9nMipTXy2sm3tJb/vote-on-interesting-disagreements

No strict criteria. Resolves to my or a resolution council's judgment if there's any disagreement, resolution should agree with the consensus if there is one.

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I think it won't be fine for everyone

bought Ṁ100 NO

@RemNi Even before 2029?

@Bayesian well, I think lots of people will lose their middle class jobs before 2028, just not confident it will be enough to make this question resolve as NO

@Bayesian by the early 2030s there will mass job losses I think, but also lots of economic growth, so hard to predict what that means for a large chunk of society

I understand why you don't want strict criteria, but "several" should really be defined.

Four years seem good to everyone who's bet so far?

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