Which answers will *exactly* match a *full* New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION]
111
8.4kṀ38k
2028
25%
Guilty [after June 5, 2024]
22%
Not Guilty
18%
Record Broken for Hottest Day on Earth
16%
Market Meltdown
16%
China invades Taiwan
16%
America Under Attack
13%
Trump impeached
12%
War declared
12%
Landmark Decision
11%
U.S. Attacked
10%
Joe Biden Dead at 83
10%
Election overturned
10%
China attacks Taiwan
10%
Xi dead
9%
Government shuts down
9%
Swing States
8%
Gaza
7%
Putin to step down
6%
Putin is dead
6%
Trump

Note: Answers must be an EXACT match of a FULL headline. No words extra, no words missing. I have another market about "closet resembling" headlines on a specific day. Marnix has a market for substrings found within any day's headlines.


For a market to resolve "YES," it must be an exact match according to my judgement, aside from letter case, punctuation, formatting quirks, and most spelling differences (I'll ignore unintentional mistakes, Kyiv vs kiev doesn't matter, etc.). This means no words extra and no words missing. This probably sounds quite hard — and in fact it may be — but also the flashier headlines tend to be quite short so I think some predictions are doable.

For an answer in this market to resolve "YES," it must have been added at least 2 calendar days before the headline appeared in print. For example, a headline that appears on a December 31 issue will only count toward an answer in this market submitted before 23:59:59 eastern time on December 29.

For the sake of this market, a New York Times cover page article headline (print) is any article headline (i.e. large, bold, or separated text that precedes an article) that is present on the front page of a daily print edition of the New York Times (most days have 4-7 of these). It does not include subheadlines (smaller headline text) when those are present, even if those are prominent. For example, the headline after Obama's first election simply reads "OBAMA" according to these criteria. It also does not include the ~12 shortened article snippets below the solid black line at the bottom of the page (these aren't traditionally considered cover page articles).

For example, the February 27, 2024 cover page has the following cover page headlines, and only these headlines:
"As Sweden Joins NATO, Bloc Asserts Its Resolve"

"Delays in Data Make Housing Riddle for Fed"

"Weary but Hopeful, Ukrainians Are Unbowed"

"Biden Is Losing Party Loyalists Over Gaza War"

"$1 Billion Gift to Make Tuition At Bronx Medical School Free"

"The Business of Child Care Is Back on the Brink"

The June 25, 2022 cover page has the following cover page headlines, and only these headlines:
"Roe Overturned"

"A Conservative Supermajority May Be Just Getting Started"

"Ending One Fight and Starting Another in a Polarized America"

"For Collins, Decision Is a Betrayal by Kavanaugh"

"In an Instant, Midterm Contests Are Scrambled"

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