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The resolution will be fuzzy, this is unavoidable. I try my best.

I agree with the direction of the group predictions. These will receive a positive resolution:

I intend to resolve it like this, based on the search and findings below:

Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough: Moderna’s mRNA cancer vaccine (Phase 3) showed a 44% reduction in recurrence for melanoma, offering new hope to millions.

AI for Education in Africa: UNESCO’s AI literacy campaign reached 5 million students across 12 African nations, dramatically improving access to quality learning.

Clean Energy Milestone: Solar power became the world’s cheapest energy source, with India generating 60% of daytime power from solar in May 2025.

Global Plastic Pact: Over 110 countries signed the 2025 Global Plastic Treaty to eliminate single-use plastics by 2030—up from 70 in 2024.

3D Printed Organs: Researchers at MIT successfully implanted the first 3D-printed functional kidney prototype in pigs—85% success rate observed.

Mental Health Inclusion:WHO reported a 30% increase in mental health budget allocations globally, with youth access up 42% across low-income countries.

Positive News That Mattered: Breakthroughs in Science, Tech, and Humanity in 2025

A discussion with DeepSeek gives this selection:

Gaza Ceasefire: Highly defensible. A lasting ceasefire would be a massive, historic global headline.

https://nos.nl/artikel/2585771-hoop-opluchting-en-terughoudendheid-na-aankondiging-wapenstilstand-gaza

https://nos.nl/artikel/2595268-officieel-geen-hongersnood-meer-in-gaza-maar-situatie-blijft-kritiek

Fall of Assad Regime: Spectacular. If it happened, it would be one of the biggest stories of the decade.

https://nos.nl/artikel/2565490-syriers-vieren-de-vrijheid-maar-zijn-onzeker-over-hun-toekomst

https://nos.nl/artikel/2589994-trump-prijst-syrische-president-bij-bezoek-aan-witte-huis-als-zeer-sterke-leider

https://nos.nl/artikel/2592438-met-pistachehype-en-verlichte-sancties-hoopt-syrie-op-economische-groei

Egyptian Museum (Grand Egyptian Museum): Strong. Its long-awaited full opening will be a major global cultural event, akin to a new Louvre.

Met gigantisch nieuw museum wil Egypte miljoenen nieuwe toeristen lokken

Canonization of Carlo Acutis: Significant for 1.3 billion Catholics and religion watchers, but likely a 1-2 day headline, not a week-long dominate-the-cycle story unless tied to a major papal event.

Eerste millennial heilig verklaard: 15-jarige wordt Sint Carlo Acutis

Medical: First approval of a therapeutic cancer vaccine for a common cancer.

Eerste testprikken met 'baanbrekend' longkankervaccin zijn gezet

French woman Gisèle Pelicot became an international figure in 2024 after publicly testifying at her mass-rape trial. This year, her courageous stand sparked systemic change.

Maybe:

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration approves the first in-home cervical cancer test.

The first images taken by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory are released to the public. The observatory is a groundbreaking, high-powered telescope that takes pictures of the entire visible sky.

OpenAI releases ChatGPT-5, which is described as a major advance in reasoning and autonomy. This is just one of numerous news stories about AI, which continues to have a growing impact on everyday life.⁸

Carlo Acutis, who died at age 15 from leukemia, is canonized by Pope Leo XIV. Widely venerated as the “the first millennial saint,” he is also known as “the patron saint of the Internet” for his interest in using digital communication to teach others.

A ceasefire goes into effect in the Israel-Hamas War. The conflict began some two years earlier when Hamas launched an assault on Israel from the Gaza Strip, killing more than 1,000 people and taking several hundred hostages. Israel subsequently declared war, and the fighting led to widespread destruction throughout the Gaza Strip and the deaths of tens of thousands of Gazans.

The Grand Egyptian Museum has its official opening ceremony. It is the largest archaeological museum in the world and is especially known for its extensive collection of items discovered in the tomb of King Tutankhamun.

Less likely:

A number of firsts also made headlines in 2025. Japan and Namibia inaugurated their first women heads of government—Sanae Takaichi and Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah, respectively. On the space front, the first successful soft landing of a commercial lunar lander took place when Firefly Aerospace’s Blue Ghost touched down near Mare Crisium on the Moon. In religion, history was made as Sarah Mullally was the first woman to be appointed archbishop of Canterbury, and Leo XIV became the first American pope. And in the ocean, a colossal squid became a video star as the first of its species to be captured on film in its natural habitat.

Maybe:

Scientific Breakthroughs: A historic malaria vaccine has been developed, saving countless young lives in Africa, showcasing the potential of science to address global health challenges.

Maybe:

Technological Developments: The year has seen a surge in agentic AI technology, with companies like Nvidia and Intel experiencing mixed fortunes amid economic uncertainty. Notably, Hewlett Packard Enterprise completed a $13.4 billion acquisition of Juniper Networks, highlighting the ongoing consolidation in the tech industry.

This may be one of my sources for resolution:

https://theprogressnetwork.org/good-news-worldwide-2025/

The green sea turtle was reclassified as a “species of least concern,” after being close to extinction since the 1980s. Concern levels were downgraded for 20 other animal species this year as well.

Renewable energy was the world’s leading source of electricity in the first half of 2025 for the first time ever, knocking coal off its longtime throne.

Emerging economies started to take the lead in solar installation, the fastest-growing source of electricity the world has ever seen. This year there was even evidence of a solar take-off in Africa: multiple countries are importing solar panels at record levels.

Trials began for the first vaccine to prevent lung cancer.

Scientists saw the first sign that CAR T therapy could successfully treat solid tumor cancers when it eliminated them in mice. Human clinical trials for the therapy—which has transformed the treatment of blood cancers such as leukemia—are next. 

A Phase 1 trial of an mRNA vaccine designed to prevent pancreatic cancer recurrences had promising results, with most patients mounting a robust immune response. Another study found that cancer patients who were administered the mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine had nearly double the survival rate than those who did not. 

Africa opened its first space agency, to both coordinate national space programs and boost weather data collection. It also opened its first drug regulation agency, raising the possibility that the continent’s genetic diversity will be included in clinical research and that drug developers will be more likely to conduct clinical trials there.

Georgia, Suriname, and Timor-Leste were certified malaria-free. Data from Cameroon, the first country to include a novel malaria vaccine in its routine immunizations, showed significant drops in hospitalizations and deaths of children under 5. And Swiss regulators approved the first malaria treatment specifically designed for babies and small children weighing less than 10 pounds. 

Ambitious targets to vaccinate 86 million girls against cervical cancer in the countries where incidence is highest were reached early this year, preventing an estimated 1.4 million deaths.

One year has passed since the ouster of Syria’s former dictator, Bashar al-Assad. While the country’s path since has been bumpy, things are stabilizing.

The world’s largest camera, located at the Vera C. Rubin Observatory in Chile, released its first images: millions of galaxies, Milky Way stars, and thousands of asteroids. The observatory will be snapping photos of the night sky repeatedly for the next decade, building an unprecedented inventory of the solar system.

Economy resolves Yes due to Nvidia? Was in the news worldwide...

@Primer I will have to think about that. With all the bubble talk I'm hesitant.

At the moment I'm mostly watching if the Gaza ceasefire will hold. That would be my primary resolution.

Thanks for the comment!

@Primer I'll also consider the opening of the Egyptian museum. That was in all the news.

@uair01 Also, "Younger generations pushing for [...] social justice" (Gen Z protests in Nepal)

@uair01 Also, for economy: All the times Trump would suspend some tariffs made worldwide news.

@Primer Yes, as always resolution proves more difficult than one expected initially 😂

@uair01 Indeed. I suppose what you had in mind was more like surprising good news, for example like room temperatur superconductivity. But good news is scarce in general and from the examples in your description, I don't think you should be super strict.

In my opinion, opening of the Egyptian Museum definitely should count. Also, OpenAI, Intel, Microsoft, Nvidia, AMD, etc. have surely "Increased funding for research and development".

This is what Grok says at the moment. I will have to think about this. Using "personal availability bias" as a measure, I've missed most of these developments.

Space Exploration (79%)

• Lunar and Asteroid Missions Advance: India’s 2023 lunar landing success (Chandrayaan-3) set the stage for further ambitions, with plans for more lunar missions in 2025, including potential crewed preparations.

• NASA’s Artemis program is progressing, with Artemis II planned for a crewed lunar flyby in 2026, but 2025 has seen significant testing and infrastructure development, like the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket advancements.

• Additionally, private companies like SpaceX are pushing reusable rocket technology, with Starship tests in 2025 aiming for lunar and Mars mission scalability. These efforts signal a new era of accessible space exploration.

• Affordable Satellite Tech: New satellite technologies are connecting underserved regions, boosting global internet access and supporting disaster monitoring, which ties into humanitarian efforts as well.

Technology (73%)

• AI for Social Good: AI is being harnessed to predict natural disasters, enhance disease detection, and scale small businesses responsibly. UNESCO’s AI literacy initiative reached over 5 million African students in 2025, bridging educational gaps in developing regions.

• Quantum Computing Breakthroughs: Using Google’s quantum processor, scientists simulated fundamental interactions in 2025, advancing our understanding of the universe. This could lead to revolutionary applications in cryptography and materials science.

Medical/Healthcare (67%)

• Cancer and Organ Innovations: Moderna’s cancer vaccine showed promise in 2025, while MIT’s 3D-printed organ implants achieved 85% effectiveness in preclinical trials, potentially revolutionizing transplants.

• Cannabis-Based Sleep Solutions: A 2025 study showed sustained improvements in sleep quality, mood, and pain management for insomnia patients using cannabis-based products over 18 months.

Fundamental Research (65%)

• Superconducting Platforms: Physicists developed a novel platform mimicking vortex states in 2025, overcoming experimental limits and enabling controlled quantum behavior. This could pave the way for ultra-low-power AI chips, boosting efficiency.

• Magnet Discovery: A new magnet that bends light was discovered, potentially impacting optics and communication technologies.

Geopolitics (65%)

• Diplomatic Progress: In 2023, Saudi Arabia and Iran exchanged ambassadors, a trend continuing into 2025 with efforts to stabilize Middle Eastern relations.

• Armenia and Azerbaijan’s prisoner swap in 2023 also hints at ongoing peace talks that could progress in 2025.

Environment and Sustainability (59%)

• Renewable Energy Surge: In 2025, India produced 60% of its daytime energy from solar in May, and solar became the world’s cheapest energy source. Over 110 countries joined the Global Plastic Pact to eliminate single-use plastics by 2030.

• Reforestation and Conservation: AI-powered drones in Brazil are reforesting hard-to-reach areas, and the EU’s 2023 deforestation law continues to curb forest-linked imports, with impacts felt in 2025.

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid (50%)

• UN and IRC Efforts: The UN allocated $10 million for Afghanistan’s 2025 earthquake relief, focusing on sturdy housing. The International Rescue Committee (IRC) expanded programs in Sudan, supporting millions amid conflict.

• AI-Driven Disaster Prediction: In Brazil, AI tools predict climate disasters, aiding preparedness in insurance, energy, and logistics sectors.

Society (50%)

• Mental Health Shifts: Research in 2025 shows the midlife “unhappiness hump” has vanished, with youth facing worse mental health but improving with age, prompting new social support strategies.

• Gender Equality in Science: A sharp increase in gender equality in scientific fields was noted in 2023, a trend continuing into 2025 with more women in leadership roles.

Art and Culture (45%)

• UNESCO Heritage Sites: Five new sites were added to UNESCO’s World Heritage list in 2023, with Africa reaching 100 sites, a milestone celebrated in 2025 for cultural preservation.

Human Rights (45%)

• Child Labor and Trafficking: Global commitments to end child labor by 2025 are gaining traction, with policies targeting forced labor and trafficking showing progress.

• Gender Equality Advances: In 2023, 27% of global parliamentarians were women, up from 12% in 1997, a trend continuing into 2025 with more female leaders, like Bosnia’s first female Chairwoman.

Economy (35%)

• Green Investments: The World Bank issued $19 billion in green and blue bonds since 2008, with a 2025 Uruguay e-ferry project reducing 37,545 tons of CO2 annually. Indonesia’s irrigation project boosted incomes for 350,000 farmers.

Do we have anything staggering yet? Would the AI-stunned mathematicians count? Don't think so. I have no extremely positive news yet.

Nope: SpaceX launched its Starship rocket on its latest test flight Thursday, but the spacecraft was destroyed following a thrilling booster catch back at the pad. Elon Musk’s company said the spacecraft’s six engines appeared to shut down one by one, with contact lost just 8 1/2 minutes into the flight.

Maybe not staggering/surprising enough to count: Bezos’ Blue Origin has successfully launched its New Glenn rocket to orbit − a feat 15 years in the making

Hamas cease fire: I propose to wait for for news that it holds, or next stage is reached.