What new word(s) will appear for the first time in the New York Times before 2030? [ADD SUGGESTIONS]

Question

I'll try to resolve this by following along with Max Bittker's "New New York Times" bluesky (formerly twitter) bot. If this bot stops working for any reason, I'll try to resolve answers manually. The ultimate truth lies in whether this is used in an official NYT article rather than whether a bot identifies it, of course.

Words must be spelled exactly the same in this market as in the NYT for it to count, aside from punctuation and letter case. Hyphenated words are allowed, plus the hyphen counts as punctuation, so a hyphenated word will resolve a non-hyphenated corresponding market and vice versa. Phrases of 2 or more words (non-hyphenated) don't count. Names and abbreviations do count.

If you're curious about whether a word is eligible to submit, you can use https://www.nytimes.com/search/ to check. Put the word in quotes. This appears to go back to 1851, so I really mean for the first time ever.

Words used for the first time ever will resolve YES, eligible words that haven't been used by 2030 will resolve NO, and ineligible entries (already used in the past or disqualified at my discretion) will resolve N/A.

Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a word doesn't appear on the New New York Times bot (which excludes proper nouns and capitalized words), the creator will still resolve it YES if it shows up via the NYT search query method (searching at https://www.nytimes.com/search/).

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Metaculus, followed by GPT-8 and Transbian are most likely. See the market for live updates (53 traders, as of Jul 10, 2026).