📆What will happen in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
55
815Ṁ2445
2026
99%
Three or more teslas catch fire as reported by the Tesla-fire website (or multiple mainstream news)
97%
Nintendo Direct airs
93%
6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states
91%
any country starts a new invasion of another country
85%
Israel : Hamas Ceasefire
83%
Trump or Biden are hospitalized for any period of time
80%
Skate 4 Release
78%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
78%
hollow knight silksong releases
75%
gpt 5 released
69%
A famous global brand undergoes a rebranding
69%
Bitcoin closes higher on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2025) than it closed on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2024) [EST] ***
69%
Dutch coalition resigns
65%
Russia : Ukraine ceasefire
61%
Pope Francis dies
58%
there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice
56%
spacex makes >=150 launches in 1 year, all in 2025
55%
at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)
52%
Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital
52%
Spider Man beyond the Spiderverse releases after the delay from March 2024

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

How do I add answers? I would like to add:

  • Nuclear weapons kill at least 100 people

  • A new global pandemic with severity comparable to COVID-19

  • China invades or blockades Taiwan

  • Overall decline in white-collar jobs

  • Inflation higher than in 2024

  • Civil unrest causes martial law in at least one US city

bought Ṁ5 YES

@strutheo it's day 1 of 2025, and a Tesla Cybertruck has already exploded

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1874546195944615987?t=8KR5pPHnCdnOk7KVTg9qPQ&s=19

bought Ṁ75 NO

@strutheo Resolves NO, happened in 2024

@strutheo would a carnival qualify? (temporarily set up somewhere, then moved elsewhere)

@snazzlePop must be an established theme park!

@strutheo does total destruction or surrender of remaining Hamas forces, thus a ceasation of firing, count as ceasefire?

@TheAllMemeingEye i think we'll need to see what the world thinks at the time. hamas leadership is still floating around other countries too

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules