📆What will happen in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
68
815Ṁ3079
2026
99%
6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states
99%
Nintendo Direct airs
99%
joseph anderson releases his long awaited witcher 3 video
99%
hollow knight silksong releases
98.2%
Israel : Hamas Ceasefire
88%
gpt 5 released
81%
Trump or Biden are hospitalized for any period of time
81%
any country starts a new invasion of another country
80%
Skate 4 Release
78%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
73%
White House goes under lockdown for any period of time
72%
there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice
69%
A famous global brand undergoes a rebranding
69%
Dutch coalition resigns
56%
spacex makes >=150 launches in 1 year, all in 2025
55%
at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)
54%
New CEO of Twitter
52%
Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)
52%
Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital
50%
Pope Francis dies

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Think these can resolve @strutheo Thanks

6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mass_shootings_in_the_United_States_in_2025

April 8 and April 9
March 29 22 ...
oops sorry looked at wrong column

Nintendo Direct airs

https://www.nintendo.com/en-gb/News/Nintendo-Direct/Latest-Nintendo-Direct/Nintendo-Direct-698557.htm

joseph anderson releases his long awaited witcher 3 video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WtIie2yPdSU
was counted elsewhere by you

Israel : Hamas Ceasefire
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Gaza_war_ceasefire

@strutheo This has to be YES by now with all of the attacks on Tesla dealers.

How do I add answers? I would like to add:

  • Nuclear weapons kill at least 100 people

  • A new global pandemic with severity comparable to COVID-19

  • China invades or blockades Taiwan

  • Overall decline in white-collar jobs

  • Inflation higher than in 2024

  • Civil unrest causes martial law in at least one US city

bought Ṁ5 YES

@strutheo it's day 1 of 2025, and a Tesla Cybertruck has already exploded

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1874546195944615987?t=8KR5pPHnCdnOk7KVTg9qPQ&s=19

bought Ṁ75 NO

@strutheo Resolves NO, happened in 2024

@strutheo would a carnival qualify? (temporarily set up somewhere, then moved elsewhere)

@snazzlePop must be an established theme park!

@strutheo does total destruction or surrender of remaining Hamas forces, thus a ceasation of firing, count as ceasefire?

@TheAllMemeingEye i think we'll need to see what the world thinks at the time. hamas leadership is still floating around other countries too

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules