📋GUIDELINES (incomplete) I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse. All resolutions require proof posted as a comment for me to resolve. Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed. Please keep self-referential answers like 'will this market reach X answers' to a minimum, although I might personally add a few 🔎Specific Rules Crypto and Stock prices will be determined by Google Celebrity status is determined by Manifold if I think it is unclear. At the end of the month, a poll will be run to determine the resolution of those questions.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, USA's Supreme Court is still 9 justices (does not get expanded) , followed by True Detective Season 5 released and xkcd is still producing new comics at least once a month are most likely. See the market for live updates (143 traders, as of Oct 3, 2026).

🔮What will be true about the world at the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]

MANIFOLD

🔮What will be true about the world at the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]

143

Ṁ11kṀ24k

2029

96%

USA's Supreme Court is still 9 justices (does not get expanded)

95%

True Detective Season 5 released

94%

xkcd is still producing new comics at least once a month

93%

Elon is still at least a partial owner of Twitter

91%

publicly available ChatGPT or similar LLM can solve sudokus reliably

89%

Super Smash Bros Melee still a popular esport

86%

Destiny is still regularly livestreaming

85%

No humans on the moon since Apollo

84%

Mr Beast has 500M or more subscribers on Youtube

82%

Xi still leader of China

82%

Kingdom Hearts 4 has released

81%

Chat GPT 7 or higher available for public use

80%

Slavoj Zizek still giving public talks

79%

Putin still leader of Russia

74%

Zuckerberg still CEO of facebook/meta

73%

the game Rust is still receiving regular updates with new content (not just bug / small fixes)

73%

Palworld is still able to be played through Steam

73%

Hiroyuki Nishimura is still the owner of 4chan

72%

@strutheo is still on Manifold, with the same username

71%

a twitter account has reached 500M followers

📋GUIDELINES (incomplete)

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
All resolutions require proof posted as a comment for me to resolve.
Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.
Please keep self-referential answers like 'will this market reach X answers' to a minimum, although I might personally add a few

🔎Specific Rules

Crypto and Stock prices will be determined by Google
Celebrity status is determined by Manifold if I think it is unclear. At the end of the month, a poll will be run to determine the resolution of those questions.

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🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

🦃What will happen in November 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

👥Which unlikely pair of people will meet before the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]

What will happen in the world throughout the 2020s

How will the world end?

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Suggested answer for anyone with Ṁ100 to add: a regulator has approved, including conditionally, a drug whose indication is lifespan extension, in any species. Why it is live on a 2028 horizon: the FDA's veterinary center accepted the effectiveness section for lifespan extension for Loyal's LOY-001 in November 2023, the first time any regulator accepted lifespan extension as an indication, then for LOY-002 in February 2025, and LOY-002's target-animal-safety section in January 2026. One section is left, manufacturing, which Loyal says it expects reviewed in 2027, and under expanded conditional approval (FDA GFI #261) the drug can be marketed before its 1,300-dog STAY lifespan study finishes. Nothing on the human side can resolve by 2028: no aging indication exists, TAME has never enrolled, and VITAL-H (ARPA-H, 726 adults) measures function. The same question with a 2035 horizon and four species as the answers (mine): https://manifold.markets/w0lph/which-species-will-get-the-first-re

filled a Ṁ130 YES at 99.0% order

@strutheo This is also a thing now.

filled a Ṁ236 YES at 99.0% order

@strutheo Resolves YES?

bought Ṁ550 YES

@strutheo
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/athletics/articles/crm1m7e0zwzo
2 did it at london Marathon 2026

@strutheo Has happend.

@strutheo if the resolution to this is based on something like "showing a grainy photo of a sudoku book fails 1/10 times so NO" I am going to lose my marbles

@HectorCanizales Is it just me or is it virtually impossible for this to resolve YES (in terms of manifold finding out)

@Qoiuoiuoiu I'm willing to share the contact information of a close relative. That way you may check by the end of 2028.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@HectorCanizales Are you OK? Chronic disease? Suicidal? Old?

@nathanwei thanks for buying NO shares. I'm suicidal, nothing worth living for, nor no one worth living for.

@HectorCanizales For one, trying to make mana on Manifold. I look forward to betting on more markets to help you improve your life. Come on make some more markets!

@HectorCanizales Sorry to hear things have been bleak lately. Hopefully, you'll find some solace and enjoyment here on Manifold.

I've N/A'd your submitted answer per our policy. We will always leave these types of markets up and listed, so people can comment and ensure we aren't silencing anyone. But we find the actual trading element on these types of markets unhelpful. Excited to trade on whatever other markets and answers you come up with, though!

I imagine there are some proxies to your well-being that would actually be helpful to get more information on, similar to your debt market. E.g. "will I have a job", "Will I have a hobby I love by X date", "multiple choice on what things you might end up doing", etc.