Will the Star Wars Galactic Starcruiser be repuropsed as a conventional Star Wars hotel and/or restaurant by Oct 1,2025?
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2025
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chance

On May 18, 2023, Disney announced that the Star Wars Galactic Starcruiser would close later in the year. This was a first-of-its-kind live action role playing two-day "cruise" experience that took place in a unique hotel where rooms are themed to be cabins in a Star Wars universe space ship.

Disney has not announced what the facility will be used for, now that the Galactic Starcruiser experience is ending. However, many people believe the market for such a live action role playing experience is much smaller than the market for a more conventional hotel experience.

This market will resolve YES if Disney utilizes the facilities used for Galactic Starcruiser for a hotel where guests can book stays of varying length (no two-night itineraries) and where guest role playing is not a primary part of the experience.

This market can also resolve YES if the restaurant is opened as a conventional or dinner theater-type experience, even if the guest rooms remain closed.

This market resolves NO if it becomes a non-Star Wars hotel or if it becomes a different type of role playing experience. It will also resolve NO if it remains closed.

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How will this market resolve if it reopens to be more or less what it was before (fixed-length LARP experience), but done better or priced cheaper?

predicts YES

@Dfe2f that is a good question. When I created the market, I did not consider that to be a reasonable possibility. But now that all the bookings between now and the end of the run are full (and at full price), that seems like a slightly more realistic possibility.

If it reopens as a similar experience, but with a different plot or price point, I would resolve the market NO, as one of my original thoughts is that there is a large market for a conventional Star Wars hotel in "space", but a small market for LARPing. (I would consider staying at a Star Wars hotel for a night or two at the cost point of other Deluxe Disney World resorts. But I am repelled by the idea of LARPing. I don't mind if people around me are LARPing--it doesn't bother me to see guests in Hogwarts robes at the Wizarding World of Harry Potter--bit I don't want to pay a premium for it. And I suspect that is a fairly common opinion.)