10GW AI training run before 2029?
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31%
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In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner predicts that the largest AI training clusters will consume 10GW of electricity in ~2028.
This market resolves YES if a training run of a single AI model consumes 10GW+ of power sustained through most of the training run. This power cost includes overhead to run the data center, such as cooling.
This is one of a series of markets on claims made in Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness report(s):
Other markets about Leopold's predictions:
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