In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner predicts that the largest AI training clusters will consume 100GW of electricity in ~2030.

This market resolves YES if a training run of a single AI model consumes 100GW+ of power sustained through most of the training run. This power cost includes overhead to run the data center, such as cooling.

This is one of a series of markets on claims made in Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness report(s):

• /Tossup/lasa-will-models-be-able-to-do-the

• /Tossup/lasa-100b-ai-training-cluster-by-th

• /Tossup/lasa-1t-ai-training-cluster-by-the

• /Tossup/lasa-by-the-end-of-2027-will-anyone

• /Tossup/lasa-by-the-end-of-2027-will-there

• /Tossup/lasa-will-a-tech-company-buy-an-alu

• /Tossup/lasa-manhattan-project-for-agi-befo

• /Tossup/lasa-1gw-ai-training-run-before-202

• /Tossup/lasa-10gw-training-run-before-2029

• /Tossup/lasa-100gw-ai-training-run-before-2

Other markets about Leopold's predictions:

• /ZviMowshowitz/will-we-develop-leopolds-dropin-rem